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Tuesday, 17 February 2015

The Annals of Surgery study

Since DBO, DFO, etc LOVE LOVE LOVE to quote this study we thought we’d share this with you.
It’s been debunked. Soundly.
annals of surgery
You can read about it here:
“When Bini and Cohn’s errors were directly addressed in a published letter to the editor of the Annals of Surgery, May 2012 issue, Bini and Cohn did not respond to a single specific or documented error, except to say, ‘we make no claim on being veterinary or forensic experts.“
This is what happens when non-professionals try to fake it. Just like Colleen Lynn, Bogart, Billy the Bartender, Pame Ashley, Merritt Clifton, Savage and all the rest of these flakes flap their gums. Nothing they say holds water.

One thought on “The Annals of Surgery study

  1. Mary Olson
    The Mawwwwl Talk Manual my favorite source for education on canine safety you will ever need… LMAO!!
    and the “pittie party” that’s a good one … because it describes DBO and her members to a T…
    Ms. Lynn’s list of invented words and her made-up definitions should have caused very serious concern as to the reliability of her claims, “data” and bias:
    Maul Talk Manual / Words invented by Dogsbite.org / Colleen Lynn
    Pitiology: Ms. Lynn describes, “Pitiology is a term derived from the DogsBite.org community. It refers to the study of pit bull owners by animal groups and behaviorists bent upon pitying and sympathizing with these owners.”
    Pitiot: Ms. Lynn states that, “Like the terms piticide and and pitricide, derived from members of the DogsBite.org community, “pitiot” combines two words to make a new one with meaning specific to the pit bull problem and the pit bull community… describing a pit bull owner “idiot..”
    Pitplexia: Here Ms. Lynn credits a website fan named, Dude, I BaggedYourPit for coming up with this term to describe an inability to identify a pit bull, or belief that a pit bull cannot be identified by appearance. She goes on to say that “Pitplexic Disorder is a symptom and diagnostic indicator for Pitthetic Dementia.”
    Pittie party: Ms. Lynn describes how she came to invent the word “pittie party” as the union of pittie and “pity party,” and is used to describe pit bull apologists who are trying to drum up sympathy (a pity party) for their pit bulls and themselves.”
    Ugly dog: Ms. Lynn describes “Ugly dog” is a term conceived by blogger Craven Desires to describe all pit bulls. She goes on to say that, “To be sure, pit bulls are ugly dogs, and they maul to death countless adorable dogs.”
    The list goes on to include dozens of other strange and disturbing terms invented by Ms. Lynn, including: Pit nutter, post-nutter, pre-nutter, pithole, piticide, pitricide, pitthetic dementia, pitplexic disorder and others invented by Ms. Lynn to describe pit bulls, pit bull owners, pit bull advocates and the “conditions they suffer from.”
    “Science Whores”
    Of all the terms invented by Ms. Lynn (Dogsbite.org) to insult and degrade “pit bulls” and their owners, the term that should have caused Dr. Bini, his collaborators, and the staff of the Annals of Surgery, the most concern was the term “science whore,” to describe their Veterinary counterparts who happened to have made statements about “pit bulls” in which Ms. Lynn found disagreeable.
    I shall not link to or list the names of the distinguished veterinarians and veterinarian behaviorists who Ms. Lynn referred to as “science whores” on her website because they had the audacity not to demonize or say negative things about “pit bulls.” Suffice it to say, these insults can be easily found on her website.

Debunking the stats To the editor: RE:How to lie with statistics


Merritt Clifton certainly knows a bit about lying with statistics. His study, which was compiled by examining press reports of dog attacks, is vague and misleading. He does not include the year or location of specific dog bites, nor does he indicate that there is a large gap in numbers between press reports and hospital reports of dog bites. Clifton also neglects to indicate what he means by "pit bull" -- American Staffordshire Terrier? American Pit Bull Terrier? Dogo Argentino? All the bull-type dogs or only a few? While he lists most of the other dogs as purebred or crossbreed, the pit bull category receives no further clarification. What he does do is split the Blue Heeler into three separate categories by name (Blue Heeler, Australian Cattle Dog, and Queensland Heeler) and identify something called a "chox mix" in two attacks. For a man whose primary job was editing, he seems to have dropped the ball here. 

Neither the Center for Disease Control or the American Veterinary Medical Association use breed in determining the likelihood of dog bites. From the AVMA: 

"Dog bite statistics are not really statistics, and they do not give an accurate picture of dogs that bite. Invariably the numbers will show that dogs from popular large breeds are a problem. This should be expected, because big dogs can physically do more damage if they do bite." 

For a more thorough debunking of the Merritt Clifton report: 

http://lassiegethelp.blogspot.com/2007/08/dangerous-breeds-dog-bite-statistics.html 
http://lassiegethelp.blogspot.com/2007/08/pit-bulls-dog-bite-statistics-and.html 


Taylor Scanlon
http://www.castanet.net/news/Letters/54119/Debunking-the-stats

Merritt Clifton and Animal People Magazines Hidden Agenda

In his most recent statement  Clifton states that has served in many related advisory capacities to organizations.
So, let’s examine a few of those organizations.
In March of 2004, Clifton’s story, “How to tell the Best Friends Animal Society from the cult who built Kanab” appeared on Animal Liberation Front DOT com (ALF).  In the story, Clifton shares the history of Kanab Utah and it’s polygamist roots then later references that history when stating, “They [Best Friends Animal Society] need only look across the desert to the sprawling unpainted housing complexes of the Mormon polygamists still in the vicinity to see what authentic cults look like.”
In 2002, according to Clifton, Best Friends computer guru Stephen Hirano at Christmas surprised ANIMAL PEOPLE with a new MacIntosh computer.
This story appears on Animal Liberation Fronts website, a national eco-terrorist organization identified in testimony before the House Resources Committee by the FBI‘s James F. Jarboe Domestic Terrorism Section Chief of the Counterterrorism Division at the FBI in Washington, DC on February 12, 2002. ALF has criticized Clifton as well for his narcissistic methods, tagging him as an “obstructionist” due to his repeated tactic of attacks on any and all advocates and activists that disagree with his opinion.  Additionally, Clifton was promoted as controversial by ALF in 2003, yet by 2004 they were sharing his Best Friends article with a more favorable appearance.  Did Clifton make amends with ALF?
Since the publishing of his Best Friends’ article, Clifton’s close ally and friend, Alexandra Semyonova has continuously blasted Best Friends Animal Society with accusations that the organization started as a cult.  At her prodding, a number of the newer members blindly parades the bunk on numerous blogs geared to undermine the very organization that had at one time supported Merritt Clifton’s self-published ANIMAL PEOPLE Magazine.  So, wouldn’t that make Clifton and Animal People magazine just a little tainted in the Dogsbite.org members eyes? 
Afterall, they always repeat the mantra “Follow the Money!”  Seems Clifton had received some funding in the past from BFAS….by his own admission.
Semyonova is the same friend of Clifton’s that belabors the whole Ku Klux Klan connection with pit bull type dogs, declaring that the typical pit owner is white-trash, southern redneck, meth-addicted, dog-fighting loving inbreds.  She seems extremely hung up on the Ku Klux Klan angle, and not surprisingly, Clifton gave a very blustery fairytale-esq share of his opinion of the Klan’s connection to dog-fighting and pit bulls when he addressed Afro-American, Hispanic drug gangs and drug addicted white rural redneck’s ownership….on a BFAS forum.  A truly eye-opening work of, well, either fiction or insanity, and certainly worth a read.
This was his attempt to explain how the term racism was not applicable to “dogs” as it pertains to human beings strictly.  Oddly, this rule seems not apply when a human-based behavioral term can be applied to dogs as long as it benefits their personal agenda.  For instance, murder and psycho just to give a small example of Dogsbite.org and Cliftons own methods of anthropomorphism.  Dogsbite.org has taken it even a step further assigning made up terms, such as piticide in their Maul Talk Guide.
Clifton’s 25-year run in the animal welfare world has made him some enemies, in fact more enemies than friends probably.  And even his personal relationships have suffered the wrath of his self-obsession.
He founded Romania League in Defense of Animals (ROLDA) in 2006 and serves as U.S. Trustee/Secretary for the organization, setting up the 501c3 charity in the U.S. He solicited donations on behalf of ROLDA including $20,000. from one individual and promoted the organization at international conferences.  He provided assessment of two separate ROLDA shelters in 2009 which was a direct conflict of interest as he also served as a ROLDA Trustee.
ROLDA Registration Merritt Clifton
What was Clifton’s objective for upstarting a Romanian organization?  He lives in Washington state here in the U.S.
According to private emails provided by his [now former] wife and long-time partner and co-founder at Animal People, Kim Bartlett, it was his love of Dana Costin that seems to have derailed Clifton the greatest.  Until meeting Costin in 2004, Clifton had managed to present himself to the public as an expert with no prejudice, no influence by others.
Even his own rag proclaimed to be unbiased, and appeared seemingly unassociated based on his public attacks of organizations, individual animal welfare advocates and in defense of his statistics.
Animal People statement: “ANIMAL PEOPLE is the leading independent newspaper providing original investigative coverage of animal protection worldwide,founded in 1992. Our readership of 30,000-plus includes the decision-makers at more than 10,000 animal protection organizations.We have no alignment or affiliation with any other entity.”
It wasn’t until Clifton’s personal dirty laundry was aired, albeit somewhat quietly among a few of  us ‘old timers’ in the animal welfare community, that his unbiased vision was truly debunked however.  Our next release will delve more into the personal life of Merritt Clifton.
Read part 3 of this series.

of Pit Bulls and morons.... What I haven't decided, yet, who are the biggest morons: the hysterical, sensation-seeking and ill-informed media, or the gutless, insecure-with-their-masculinity, microcephalic mental-midget losers who abuse animals, in this case one of America's icons: The American Pit Bull Terrier.

Are the "Nanny Dogs" a Myth?

My esteemed critic DubV asks: "do you still think pit bull's were ever the or a nanny dog?"


Here is my reply:


  1. ANY point of view is supportable by simply cherry-picking supportive “evidence.” Notoriously, in research, it is not unusual for one to cite a hundred articles that support the findings of the research and ignore most, if not all, the ones that would contradict it. Similarly, when deposed or asked to act as an expert witness in forensic work, we have been taught not to cite references supporting our point of view, because the opposition has just as many “expert witnesses” who will bring to bear references that state the contrary view. Any good expert witness, and I think I am one, states his or her OPINION and supports it with HIS or HER findings.
  2. History is “truth” as seen from the perspective of the writer of history. I believe that our knowledge of history of the past is nothing but a recitation of “facts” as ordered by the winner of war(s) or whoever is in power.
  3. Beliefs are acquired through: a) learning (experience); b) what an authority tells us; c) consensus. All three can be faulty. I know you can think of examples of each.

A Google search of the phrase “nanny dog historical fact” yields 1.5 million hits, much of it “”noise.” However, the vast majority of hits on the top few pages will be supportive of the idea, while the minority who calls us “nutters,”  holds the opinion that this is a myth.

CKing and Craven Desires, who dedicated their My Space page to “debunking” the “myth of the nanny dog” are “friends” with a dozen kennels that breed “pit bulls” (note the quotation marks), bring NO evidence that the American Pit Bull Terrier was NOT a family dog at the turn of the century and into the 40s and 50s, and by failing to find evidence of “historical fact” conclude that the whole things is a myth. It’s the classical “Bertrand’s (Russells’) Teapot,” or argumentum ad ignorantiam – indeed, the absence of proof is not proof of absence. The rant starts with a false premise, quite thoroughly contradicted by both the CDC and the American Veterinary Medical Association (the number of children killed by “pit bulls). Further impugning the person’s credibility, at the very top of his/her page, this person starts with an image that paraphrases Joseph Goebbels, Adolf Hitler’s Propaganda Minister in Nazi Germany. What a perfect example of Godwin’s Law.

That My Space post has been cut and pasted verbatim by several other bloggers. 

CUI BONO?


Personally, I prefer to give credence to the American Pit Bull Foundation:

“The American Pit Bull Terrier was not bred for human aggression or for use as a guard dog. Rather, bred for their unmatchable will, high tolerance for pain, and their athletic abilities. They are good caretakers who are intelligent, loving, and alert. Combine all of these factors together, and you have the recipe for a companion animal that does well with children when properly trained. Pit Bulls make great search and rescue dogs and many serve as therapy assistance animals. The Nanny Dog story dates back to the 19th century where the Pit Bull was a popular choice as a companion animal for children based on their docile temperament. Certain sites will have you believe that the Nanny Dog story is a myth, such as the Truth about Pit Bulls blog, yet if you read such sites, you will see that these individuals are making assumptions based on comparisons of dog aggression and human aggression as if the two are related to one another. For example, one of the implied ides on the site mentioned is the thought that the Pit Bull could be the perfect family companion by day and be the throat ripping monster fighter in a ring by night. What these authors do not grasp is the fact that a scenario of this sort is not only completely plausible, but did, and does exist. Because of how Pit Bull fighting and over-breeding has evolved, coupled with the fact that people can’t understand that dog aggression and human aggression are not the least bit related, most do not comprehend that the family Pit Bull often shared a bed with the kids, ate dinner with the family, saw a veterinarian on a regular basis, and when it was time, was thrown into a ring by his master. When a fight was over, rarely was a death of a dog the end result.


The other side of the Nanny Dog involves those who were companions in the wars. Many Pit Bulls/Staffordshire Terriers would accompany their masters to their posts. There are several war stories and memorandums in dedication to the breed for their courageous efforts and their therapeutic loyalty to injured soldiers.


There are still stories today involving heroic efforts for the family children that the media passes right over. Two recent cases involve a Pit Bull pulling a baby’s basinet through a home away from a fire, and another involves a Pit Bull alerting his owner to a strangling child. Both children were safe in the outcomes. Though bad people do bad things with dogs and tragedies result from their negligence, this breed by nature is not the culprit, they are often the reason that children are removed from harm.


Myths or beliefs, past or present, the nature of this breed emulates a loyal companion and sheppard for children when brought up in the right hands. We share our home with two Nanny Dogs.”


Considering all of the above, I BELIEVE that the “nanny dog” moniker is well-deserved with the appropriate cautions: 1) no dog of any kind should ever be left unsupervised with a young child; 2) a dog should be treated with the respect that a family companion deserves; 3) a dog should be trained every day of his/her life; 4) a Pit Bull of any kind is not for everyone.

Just an aside... the original "nanny dog" name was attached to an English breed of dogs, the Staffordshire Bull Terrier. 


Clifton Study Debunked by APBT People

Clifton’s own “study” disproves his assertions. His own tally of severe and fatal dog attacks includes over 50 different types and breeds of dogs. It seems clear that dogs of all types can have “bad moments” that result in severe injury.
Clifton concludes in his article that he “[does] not know how an effective, fair, enforceable, humane dangerous dog law could be constructed.” He goes on to propose breed-specific legislation as the solution to dangerous dogs, yet provides no scientific evidence that BSL actually works. 
Merritt Clifton’s study is a medley of newspaper articles from 1982 through 2007 that present a very biased and inaccurate overview of dog bites. It is more of an incomplete tally of severe bites than a study.

Media was the only source of data. Clifton’s only source for his findings is the media, and he focuses on cases that required “extensive hospitalization.” This term is never defined in his article. It might mean stitches, or it might mean amputation.

Clifton's study was missing data. In the beginning of the study, Clifton states that attacks by police dogs, guard dogs, dogs trained to fight, and dogs whose breed may be uncertain are excluded. Therefore, it is reasonable to assume a good number of attacks are not included. This might leave the reader with the assumption that Clifton has included all other dog attacks.

The CDC reports in their Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report that of the “333,700 patients treated for dog bites in emergency departments in 1994, approximately 6,000 were hospitalized.” (July 4, 2003 article at http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5226a1.htm)
 
However, Clifton only lists 2,363 bites total—and that is over the 25 years that he has tallied media reports of attacks. 
If approximately 6,000 people require hospitalization each year because of a dog attack, then over 25 years, there would have been 150,000 people hospitalized. Yet Clifton has apparently only found media reports for 1.6% of all these attacks.
 
Clifton’s report therefore implies that the remaining 98.4% of bites that required “extensive hospitalization” according to the CDC were by non-identifiable types of dogs or police, guard, or fighting animals. This is highly unlikely. Clifton’s data is so incomplete as to make it virtually useless for analyzing patterns related to severe dog attacks.

On Clifton’s list of all dog attacks and the dogs’ breed, he makes several miscategorization and misidentification mistakes.

He lists the Australian Blue Heeler, the Australian Cattle Dog, the Blue Heeler, and the Queensland Heeler as separate breeds. These are all different names for the same breed. Listing these attacks under separate breed names skewed the results of the study.

It should be noted that Clifton does not attempt to divide pit bull attacks into separate breed names. If he were to do so, it is not clear what his study results would show; “pit bull” is a generic term for at least three different breeds of dogs, and dozens of other breeds are often lumped into the “pit bull” category based on their similar appearance.

There are also 33 attacks that were supposedly done by “Bull Mastiff (Presa Canario).” Bull Mastiffs and Presa Canarios are distinctly different breeds, and if there is question about which breed the dog is, this attack should not be listed as a “clearly identified breed.”

The report also attempts to identify the predominant breed in dogs. Clifton gives no reason as to why he listed an attack as being done by an Akita/Chow mix instead of a Chow/Akita mix. How did he determine that Beagle was the predominant breed in the attack done by a Beagle/German Shepherd Dog?
 
Clifton makes several spelling mistakes throughout his report. Misidentified breeds listed as: “Chox mix,” “Dauschund,” “Doge De Bordeaux,” “Fila Brasiero,” “Buff Mastiff,” “Great Pyranees,” and “Weimaeaner” compromise Clifton’s credibility.
 
In Clifton’s analysis, he attempts to evaluate dog behavior based on breed, bite frequency, and “degree of relative risk.” Yet, Clifton has shown numerous times in his report that he cannot identify a breed properly, or even spell breed names correctly. This is a clear inability to determine risk scientifically.  
Both bite frequency and degree of relative risk are impossible to calculate. No one knows how often breeds bite since hundreds of bites go unreported. And to attempt to determine a “degree of relative risk,” Clifton would have to know every factor that contributed to every dog bite.
Even the CDC concluded at the end of their own flawed study (see above) that there is no way to determine relative risk:
There is currently no accurate way to identify the number of dogs of a particular breed, and consequently no measure to determine which breeds are more likely to bite or kill. 
Merritt Clifton apparently does not understand the many factors that go into a reliable calculation of relative risk, nor does he wish to acknowledge that trained researchers realize that many, if not most, of those factors can never be known or calculated.

Misapplied and misinterpreted data. Clifton’s analysis section is full of faults and absurd assumptions.
 
Of the breeds most often involved in incidents of sufficient severity to be listed, pit bull terriers are noteworthy for attacking adults almost as frequently as children. This is a very rare pattern...Pit bulls seem to differ behaviorally from other dogs in having far less inhibition about attacking people who are larger than they are.
As discussed, Clifton has tallied less than two percent of all severe dog attacks. He clearly has no idea how frequently pit bulls—or any other type of dog, for that matter—bite.
Furthermore, without knowing all bite factors, including the dog’s health, condition, sexual state, training, environment, and the behavior of the victim, there is no way Clifton could possibly conceive any possible pattern or difference as to who pit bulls attack.
Since Clifton is tallying media articles, his conclusion seems to be more telling of media coverage of dog bites. If one was to assume that the media is more likely to publish a pit bull attack than an attack by another type of dog, and more likely to publish an attack on a child than an attack on an adult, it stands to reason that while media-reported pit bull attacks include both adults and children, media reports about other types of dogs’ attacks may only be considered newsworthy when a child is involved. Thus, it may appear that pit bulls are overrepresented in attacks on adults.
Misunderstanding of dog behavior and ignorance about breed standards
They [pit bulls] are also notorious for attacking seemingly without warning, a tendency exacerbated by the custom of docking pit bulls’ tails so that warning signals are not easily recognized. Thus the adult victim of a pit bull attack may have had little or no opportunity to read the warning signals that would avert an attack from any other dog.
All dogs exhibit warning signs. Pit bull expert Diane Jessup, a retired animal control officer and police dog trainer, stated in her book The Working Pit Bull, “all Pit Bulls do give some warning that they are going to attack.”
Studies have indicated that, generally, people do not understand dog body language. A person may not recognize that a dog standing very still, legs apart, tail waving slowly, is indicating an impending attack. When one cannot identify all possible threat behaviors, it might appear that a dog is attacking without warning. Clifton provides no evidence to show that victims are oblivious to impending attacks by pit bulls at a greater rate than impending attacks by other dogs.
Clifton’s statement that pit bulls’ tails are customarily docked demonstrates his lack of familiarity with the breed-type. A list of traditionally docked breeds can be found on the Council of Docked Breeds website (http://www.cdb.org/list.htm). None of the pit bull breeds, to include the American Pit Bull Terrier, the American Staffordshire Terrier, and the Staffordshire Bull Terrer, can be found on this list. Nor can any of the breeds that are occasionally mistaken to be “pit bulls,” such as the American Bulldog, Bull Mastiff, and Bull Terrier. Tail docking has neverbeen common or customary with any of the pit bull types. Docking the tail of an American Pit Bull Terrier, American Staffordshire Terrier or Staffordshire Bull Terrier means immediate disqualification from the show ring.
To substantiate his assertions that:  
1) pit bulls customarily have their tails docked, and 2) tail docking results in an inability for people to read canine body language
Clifton would need to provide evidence that a disproportionate number of pit bulls or attacking dogs have had their tails docked, and further, that a dog’s tail is the primary predictor of an impending attack. He provides no such evidence.
There are over 50 different breeds of dogs, including the Cocker Spaniel, Airedale Terrier, German pointer, Jack Russell Terrier, Poodle, and Corgi, whose tails are traditionally docked. (Council of Docked Breeds) If tail docking inhibits the communication of impending aggression, why are tail-less breeds not disproportionately represented in any list of severe and fatal attacks?
Excuses for some breeds’ behavior...
Rottweilers...seem to show up disproportionately often in the mauling, killing, and maiming statistics simply because they are both quite popular and very powerful...
Clifton excuses Rottweilers’ attacks due to the fact that they are both popular and powerful. Yet pit bulls, who are also popular and strong, are not given this same excuse. 
In the German shepherd mauling, killing, and maiming cases I have recorded, there have almost always been circumstances of duress: the dog was deranged from being kept alone on a chain for prolonged periods without human contract, was starving, was otherwise severely abused, was protecting puppies, or was part of a pack including other dangerous dogs. None of the German shepherd attacks have involved predatory behavior on the part of an otherwise healthy dog.
  
Here Clifton excuses German Shepherd attacks due to outside factors. This implies that no other type of dog in his study attacked because it was left neglected, abused, chained or left untrained and unsocialized. Yet he offers no proof to substantiate the idea that all other cases he recorded involved trained, socialized, beloved family pets.  
It is sheer foolishness to encourage people to regard pit bull terriers and Rottweilers as just dogs like any other, no matter how much they may behave like other dogs under ordinary circumstances.
Clifton implies that pit bulls and Rottweilers no longer behave like dogs under extra-ordinary circumstances. What those extra-ordinary circumstances are is unstated, and how pit bulls and Rottweilers suddenly become behaviorally different under those circumstances is not demonstrated in the report.
To imply that pit bulls and Rottweilers are not to be regarded as dogs even though they act like ordinary canines is absurd. Clifton’s agenda is quite clear—he badly wishes to portray pit bulls and Rottweilers as somehow unique—but his “study” is so flawed that he cannot prove any of his sweeping generalizations.
Temperament is not the issue, nor is it even relevant. What is relevant is actuarial risk.
Here Clifton returns to the idea that, somehow, we can calculate the “riskiness” or “relative danger” of particular breeds or types of dogs. As demonstrated earlier in this article, it is not possible to do this.
Furthermore, it is totally bizarre to say that temperament is not an issue. Temperament plays a huge part in dog attacks, as any canine behaviorist or dog bite researcher would agree. A very large dog may be able to do a lot of damage if it bites someone, but if the dog is extremely placid by nature (temperament), there’s very little danger to the public. On the contrary, a smaller dog may do less damage if it attacks, but if it is extremely aggressive, it could maul or kill someone. To suggest that temperament isn’t even relevant is ridiculous. 
If almost any other dog has a bad moment, someone may get bitten, but will not be maimed for life or killed, and the actuarial risk is accordingly reasonable. If a pit bull terrier or a Rottweiler has a bad moment, often someone is maimed or killed—and that has now created off-the-chart actuarial risk, for which the dogs as well as their victims are paying the price.

Clifton’s own “study” disproves his assertions. His own tally of severe and fatal dog attacks includes over 50 different types and breeds of dogs. It seems clear that dogs of all types can have “bad moments” that result in severe injury.

In conclusion, Clifton concludes in his article that he “[does] not know how an effective, fair, enforceable, humane dangerous dog law could be constructed.” He goes on to propose breed-specific legislation as the solution to dangerous dogs, yet provides no scientific evidence that BSL actually works.
 
For More Information Please See: 

The Clifton Report has been debunked repeatedly.

http://www.castanet.net/news/Letters/54119/Debunking-the-stats 
http://apbtpeople.webs.com/cliftonstudydebunked.htm 
http://btoellner.typepad.com/kcdogblog/2011/09/merritt-clifton-when-the-numbers-just-dont-add-up.html 
http://blogs.browardpalmbeach.com/pulp/2013/02/pit_bulls_not_aggressive_research.php
http://mastiffsj.blogspot.com/2009/04/debunking-dogsbite-thank-you-kutterskru.html 
http://btoellner.typepad.com/kcdogblog/merrit-cliffton/ 
http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=8&cad=rja&ved=0CFIQFjAH&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2Fpermalink.php%3Fid%3D317242708299732%26story_fbid%3D386502921368841&ei=ZwWdUaK3C8rA0gGqx4HoDA&usg=AFQjCNFHpNmBUC26DmnK3BvxFzfXd5cXUg&bvm=bv.46751780,d.dmQ
http://lassiegethelp.blogspot.com/2007/08/dangerous-breeds-dog-bite-statistics.html 

edit: Love this part!: 

According to Clifton's report , during the 24-year period covered by his study there were a total of 2,209 “ attacks doing bodily harm” in the U.S. and Canada. 1,182 of those attacks were by pit bulls and pit bull mixes. (Lumping mixes together with so-called purebreds makes no sense from any standpoint, but Mr. Clifton lumps them together --- so I will, too, again for the purposes of this post.)

1,182 severe attacks by pit bulls and pit mixes in the U.S. and Canada over a 24-year period works out to an average of just over 49 severe attacks by pit bulls and pit bull mixes in North America per year.

If Clifton’s pit bull numbers are correct, and no more than 49 of the 6,000 or so hospitalizations due to severe dog bites in the U.S. each year are a result of pit bull bites or attacks, then pit bulls and pit mixes are responsible for less than one percent of those hospitalizations.

.82%. Eighty-two hundredths of a percent of hospitalizations due to dog bites in the U.S. each year are a result of pit bull bites or attacks, if the press has accurately represented the number of serious attacks by pit bulls and pit mixes.


http://lassiegethelp.blogspot.com/2007/08/pit-bulls-dog-bite-statistics-and.html 

It's based on media report where untrained people attempted to visually identify the alleged breed of the dog. Such visual IDs are really no better than random chance, even when done by dog experts. 

http://sheltermedicine.vetmed.ufl.edu/library/research-studies/current-studies/dog-breeds/ 

Finally, there are no reputable professionals in animal behavior, veterinary medicine, bite prevention or dog training that even accept the Clifton Report: 

http://dogbitesinformationandstatistics.blogspot.com/2007/11/wheres-clifton-report.html: 

Merritt Clifton’s tabulation of dog bite articles is incomplete, inaccurate and badly edited. Readers have no way to access the original news stories and follow-up articles; breeds of dogs aren’t accurately recorded; and there is a significant discrepancy between press accounts of dog attacks and actual hospital data.

In a single year , for example, at least 6,000 people were hospitalized in the U.S. as a result of dog attacks, according to the CDC. Clifton, by contrast, claims that during the 24-year period covered by his study there were a total of 2,209 “ attacks doing bodily harm” in the U.S. and Canada.


Spreading lies does not help your cause.

Pit bulls, dog bite statistics, and the Merritt Clifton report 2


Part II:
Clifton’s “Analysis”


In Part 1 of my look at Merritt Clifton’s study of dog bites [“Dangerous breeds,” dog bite statistics, and the Merritt Clifton report: Numbers] I showed that Clifton’s tabulation of press accounts is incomplete, inaccurate, badly edited and misleading. Readers have no way to access the original news stories and follow-up articles; breeds of dogs aren’t accurately recorded; and there is a huge discrepancy between press accounts of dog attacks and hospital data.

Clifton follows his list of severe bites with a brief section of comments on selected attacks. No footnotes or links are provided: in fact, there are no citations anywhere in the report.

In the Analysis section Clifton writes:
The tallies of attacks, attacks on children, attacks on adults, fatalities, and maimings on the above data sheet must be evaluated in three different contexts. The first pertains to breed-specific characteristic behavior, the second to bite frequency as opposed to the frequency of severe injuries, and the third to degree of relative risk.
In other words, Clifton is turning his back on everything known about the cause and prevention of dog bites, and is choosing instead to evaluate severe bites and attacks on the basis of “breed–specific characteristics”: an approach with no grounds in science, and one that has been discredited and rejected by the CDC, the AVMA, veterinary behaviorists, trainers, humane organizations and ACOs.

Neither Merritt Clifton nor I nor anyone else can speak about any breed’s “bite frequency,” or compare “bite frequency” to “the frequency of severe injuries,” because no one knows how often dogs of any breed bite. It is possible, for instance, that most pit bull “bites” are nips or bruises, and that none of those bites are recorded by the press because the bites cause neither real injury nor concern.No one knows. No one knows how often dogs of a particular breed bite or what percentage of those bites are severe, and no one knows the number of dogs of each breed in the overall population. Bite frequency and relative risk are impossible to determine.

These facts are evident, or should be evident, to anyone. As the AVMA task force on dog aggression states:
Dog bite statistics are not really statistics, and they do not give an accurate picture of dogs that bite. Invariably the numbers will show that dogs from popular large breeds are a problem. This should be expected, because big dogs can physically do more damage if they do bite.
The AVMA task force needed less than a paragraph in its Community approach to dog bite prevention to kick the Clifton study to the curb, but I’m going to spend a bit more time on his Analysis section. Frankly, it’s such a train wreck I can’t look away.

Clifton’s comments are in green --- mine are in red.
Of the breeds most often involved in incidents of sufficient severity to be listed, pit bull terriers are noteworthy for attacking adults almost as frequently as children. Numbers again: Clifton doesn’t know how often pit bulls bite children or how frequently they bite adults. He has no idea how often they bite at all. No one does. This is a very rare pattern […] What pattern? Without knowing anything about a biting dog’s health, care or condition, its quality of ownership, victim behavior and so forth, there are no patterns. Captain Arthur Haggerty, a well-known dog trainer, wrote that in cases where a pit bull bites, the owner almost always has a criminal record. That might be a pattern worth investigating. Pit bulls seem to differ behaviorally from other dogs in having far less inhibition about attacking people who are larger than they are. Which pit bulls? Out of the country’s three million or more pit bulls, which ones “differ behaviorally”? Mr. Clifton, meet Mr. GladwellOnce again, Clifton refuses to acknowledge that other factors may be involved when a pit bull bites: abuse, starvation, life on a chain. They are also notorious for attacking seemingly without warning, “Notorious?” According to whom? Barring health problems and/or abuse, all dogs exhibit a pattern of negative or abnormal behavior before a bite. a tendency exacerbated by the custom of docking pit bulls' tails so that warning signals are not easily recognized. Where on earth is it “the custom” to dock pit bulls’ tails? Seriously. Is there any substantiating evidence for this statement? Because no one docks pit bulls’ tails. Ears, sometimes --- tails, never [unless the tail is injured]. Thus the adult victim of a pit bull attack may have had little or no opportunity to read the warning signals that would avert an attack from any other dog. How many of the pit bulls involved in this list of attacks had docked tails? “We have no idea”? I thought so.

Rottweilers […] seem to show up disproportionately often in the mauling, killing, and maiming statistics simply because they are both quite popular and very powerful[...] A “large, popular breed,” in other words --- as opposed to those notorious pit bulls with their rare behavioral patterns.

German shepherds are herding dogs, bred for generations to guide and protect sheep. Please. German shepherds are show and companion dogs, and no, they have not been bred for generations to work sheep. For the last century they have been bred for conformation; for police work and protection sports; and to be pets. Most modern GSDs have as much “herding instinct” as a bulldog, and based on what I’ve seen at AKC “herding trials,” as much talent on stock. In modern society, they are among the dogs of choice for families with small children because of their extremely strong protective instinct. How does he know? They have three distinctively different kinds of bite [I can’t believe I’m reading this]: the guiding nip, which is gentle and does not break the skin; the grab-and-drag, to pull a puppy or lamb or child away from danger, which is as gentle as emergency circumstances allow; and the reactive bite, usually in defense of territory, a child, or someone else the dog is inclined to guard. The reactive bite usually comes only after many warning barks, growls, and other exhibitions intended to avert a conflict. When it does come, it is typically accompanied by a frontal leap for the wrist or throat. Unbelievable. There is not a shred of evidence for these statements, and I’m speaking 1) as a former owner of both American-bred and Schutzhund-bred German shepherds, and 2) as one with a fair amount of literature in my possession relating to this breed. If German shepherds are bred for any sort of bite, it’s the full-mouthed protection-sport bite, and that same type of bite is admired by the relatively tiny but dedicated group of GSD boundary-style herding enthusiasts here and in Germany. “Three distinctively different kinds of bite”? I thought I’d seen it all after reading a few years’ worth ofAKC Gazette breed columns [“Collies must have an oblique eye set in order to scan the horizon for sheep”], and then something like this comes along. The “three different bites” concept has nothing to do with the millions of GSDs in North America and even less to do with the realities of stockwork. Seriously, where did this “three distinctive bites” business come from? Is it from the Gazette? Enlighten us. Because it sounds as if it was made up out of whole cloth.

Because German shepherds often use the guiding nip and the grab-and-drag with children, who sometimes misread the dogs' intentions and pull away in panic, they are involved in biting incidents at almost twice the rate that their numbers alone would predict: approximately 28% of all bite cases, according to a recent five-year compilation of Minneapolis animal control data. Yet none of the Minneapolis bites by German shepherds involved a serious injury: hurting someone is almost never the dogs' intent.

Again: I can’t believe I’m reading this.

GSDs “are involved in biting incidents at almost twice the rate that their numbers alone would predict” --- because they are trying to lead or pull children out of danger? There is nothing to support this claim: zero, zip, nada. And what’s up with the reference to Minneapolis AC data? Is this a “Look! Something shiny!” gambit? Because in Clifton’s own study, GSD attacks result in a higher percentage of maimings [60%] than pit bull attacks do [55%]. And yet -- again with no supporting evidence –Clifton states that when German shepherds bite, “hurting someone is almost never the dogs' intent.” He knows all the GSDs in the country, apparently, and reads their minds, too.
In the German shepherd mauling, killing, and maiming cases I have recorded, there have almost always been circumstances of duress: the dog was deranged from being kept alone on a chain for prolonged periods without human contract, was starving, was otherwise severely abused, was protecting puppies, or was part of a pack including other dangerous dogs. None of the German shepherd attacks have involved predatory behavior on the part of an otherwise healthy dog.
Neither Clifton nor [as far as anyone can tell] the press accounts he tabulated see fit to acknowledge “circumstances of duress” when a pit bull or other breed bites. Apparently pit bulls are never chained, never turned loose or abandoned to run in packs, never abused, always well fed and correctly socialized --- unlike those misunderstood German shepherds.

Seriously, it’s unbelievable – unconscionable – that anyone writing about dog attacks would fail to acknowledge the abusive conditions surrounding most pit bulls that bite, and yet make such a raft of excuses for another breed, claiming, “There have almost always been circumstances of duress.” Is this intentional, or simply drawn from the press accounts themselves? Either way, the lack of objectivity is remarkable.

Clifton goes on to stress “the need for some sort of strong breed-specific regulation to deal with pit bulls and Rottweilers,” and chastises the “humane community” for refusing to see that adopting a pit bull is no different from adopting a mountain lion. He states that pit bulls and Rottweilers should be strictly regulated “if they are to be kept at all.”

And that’s just stupid.

Ban all dogs over 30 lb, and children (and adults) will still be maimed and killed by dachshunds and cocker spaniels. But the statement that will make knowledgeable, informed dog people beat their heads on rocks is this one:
Temperament is not the issue, nor is it even relevant. What is relevant is actuarial risk. If almost any other dog has a bad moment, someone may get bitten, but will not be maimed for life or killed, and the actuarial risk is accordingly reasonable. If a pit bull terrier or a Rottweiler has a bad moment, often someone is maimed or killed--and that has now created off-the-chart actuarial risk, for which the dogs as well as their victims are paying the price.

I think Clifton wants very much to say, “They’ll turn on you.” But a dog with a good temperament won’t do that. If your dog is elderly and confused, suffering from a brain tumor or seizure disorder or terrible thyroid problem, or is injured and in pain, he may bite regardless of a terrific temperament. Dogs aren’t robots. But dogs with good temperaments don’t turn on people. They don’t have chainsaw-massacre “bad moments.”

Dogs with unsound temperaments? Especially if they are unsocialized, untrained and badly managed, everyone around them is always at risk.

The bulk of dogs that bite are somewhere in the middle. One may have a sound temperament but was never socialized to children. Another may be a nice dog whose resource-guarding habit was never addressed. Some have just had all they’re going to take, like the Dalmatian who bit a boy that jumped from his bed onto the sleeping dog. And because children are small, many of these injuries are terrible.

“Bad moment” isn’t a scientific term. It’s a euphemism for something only “those breeds” do. It implies that no one really has to worry about “safe breeds,” and the trouble with this particular implication is that “safe breeds” already send hundreds of thousands of children – and adults -- to hospital emergency rooms each year. The choice of phrase reflects all the misleading, inaccurate figures and statements that make the Clifton report such a hot mess: another sad measure of the general public’s “boundless, staggering ignorance about dogs.”